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War in Ukraine

Russia’s War Losses in Ukraine Exceed 2 Million, Independent Estimate Finds

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Photo of Ivan Khomenko
News Writer
Destroyed Russian tanks and armored vehicles in Lyman, Donetsk region, Ukraine, October 5, 2022. (Source: Getty Images)
Destroyed Russian tanks and armored vehicles in Lyman, Donetsk region, Ukraine, October 5, 2022. (Source: Getty Images)

Russia’s mounting battlefield losses are reaching a staggering scale, with new estimates revealing how heavily Moscow has paid for its prolonged war against Ukraine.

Russia may have suffered between 1.4 million and 2.1 million military casualties, including as many as 770,000 soldiers killed, since launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

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According to The Economist on October 30, an updated statistical assessment estimates Russian military deaths at between 374,000 and 770,000, with the remaining casualties consisting of wounded personnel.

The figures represent a substantial increase from the publication’s previous estimates. In July 2025, The Economist assessed Russia’s total casualties at 900,000 to 1.3 million, including 190,000 to 350,000 deaths. By May 2026, those estimates had risen to 1.1–1.5 million casualties and 280,000–518,000 deaths.

The Economist’s calculations combine Western intelligence assessments, defense ministry data, independent research, and battlefield tracking. Russia does not publish comprehensive official casualty figures, making independent verification difficult.

Despite these losses, Moscow continues its military operations. The Economist also reported that Ukrainian forces had recaptured approximately 73 square kilometers of territory over the previous three months.

Meanwhile, Ukraine’s General Staff reported on October 31 that Russian forces had suffered another 1,670 personnel losses over the previous 24 hours, bringing Ukraine’s cumulative estimate to approximately 1,588,170 since February 2022.

The Ukrainian military also reported the loss of two Russian air defense systems and 206 vehicles and fuel tankers during the same period.

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