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Russia’s Own Sociologist Warns of Civil War, Collapse, and Elite Decay
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![Photo of Ivan Khomenko]( "Photo of Ivan Khomenko")
Russia may face the risk of an internal conflict due to mounting social, economic, and political tensions, according to Alexander Kharichev, the head of the Presidential Directorate for Monitoring and Analyzing Social Processes.
His warning appeared in an article titled “Who Are We?” published in the journal State, issued by the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) and the project DNA of Russia, as reported by Vedomosti and Agentstvo.
Kharichev identified a potential civil war as one of five major challenges confronting Russia, alongside the loss of political and cultural sovereignty, population decline, erosion of public trust in the government, the breakdown of the political system, and what he described as “dehumanization” of Russian society.
As a response, Kharichev called for fostering a “united and solidary society” built around the ideology of “We Don’t Abandon Our Own,” which, according to him, should be rooted in Russia’s “civilizational code.”
He added that a forthcoming law on “patriotic education” would require all state institutions and educational organizations to promote this ideology and strengthen civic loyalty.
Kharichev also claimed that the Russia’s war against Ukraine had prevented the loss of Russia’s sovereignty. “The Russian elite was focused solely on sending their children abroad, creating retirement structures overseas… For Russia, the special military operation turned out to be a cleansing,” he wrote.
Addressing demographic decline, Kharichev described it as part of a “globalist experiment” and a “virus” spread by the promotion of child-free and LGBTQ lifestyles. As a countermeasure, he suggested encouraging large families and producing media content featuring households with three or more children.
To rebuild trust in state institutions, Kharichev proposed a meritocratic system in which leadership roles would be held by the most capable individuals. To counter what he called “dehumanization,” he urged the creation of a “person of the future” guided by values such as patriotism, solidarity, and service.
Earlier, Ukraine’s intelligence chief Oleg Ivashchenko warned that Russia could face economic collapse by late 2025 as its reserves shrink and war costs soar. He told Ukrinform that Moscow’s ambitions remain high but its capabilities are “exhausted—technologically, economically, and diplomatically,” with the National Wealth Fund down to $38 billion and major financial strains expected soon.
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