Ukrainian Official Outlines Scenario for Russia’s Collapse

The Head of Center for Counteracting Disinformation (CCD) has outlined a scenario for the potential disintegration of Russia within the next 50 years.

According to CCD head Andrii Kovalenko, this outcome could be inevitable, contingent on the continuation of lader Vladimir Putin’s regime and the persistence of its aggressive policies.

Kovalenko stated that a controlled division of Russia into national entities, with Moscow at the center, is a likely scenario for the country’s future. This, he suggests, would allow these entities to independently shape their political agendas and align themselves with ethnic interests.

He added that such a development would not only benefit the national formations within Russia, but also external powers, including Ukraine and Western countries, who would gain the opportunity to redistribute spheres of influence.

Moreover, Kovalenko emphasized that Russia itself would stand to benefit from such a scenario. By abandoning its longstanding imperial strategy, the country could potentially modernize and integrate into a new, more sustainable civilizational model. According to him, this transformation is vital for Russia’s survival, as the current imperial model is no longer viable and could lead to its eventual collapse.

“For Moscow and Russians, this is the only chance for life. The imperial model does not work and will lead to the death of everything they love so much in future generations,” Kovalenko stated.

The potential collapse of Russia, however, is intertwined with significant economic challenges. The country faces high inflation, international sanctions, a weakened currency, and uncertain oil prices—all contributing to instability. Experts, including economist Oleg Vyugin, point to the diminishing success of Russia’s economy, exacerbated by persistent inflation and the country’s increasing financial isolation.

In the context of these economic difficulties, the high-interest rates introduced to curb inflation have failed to prevent a steep rise in prices, which is now more than twice the target set by the government.