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Ukraine Obtains Russian Offensive Plans Through 2027—Zelenskyy Says Moscow Lacks Capacity to Execute Them

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told journalists that Ukraine has obtained Russian military plans outlining intended offensives through 2027, but stressed that Moscow lacks the capacity to carry them out, Ukrinform reported on March 2.
“We received documents, plans for 2025–2026–2027—slightly outdated for 2025. We see that they have not achieved their goals. We also received [plans for] 2026–2027. We understand what they want,” Zelenskyy said.
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According to the President, Russia’s strategic priorities remain unchanged. “We understand that their directions remain relevant—the occupation of the east of our state, namely the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. They undoubtedly want to continue in the direction of the Zaporizhzhia region, and also toward the Dnipro direction. It is difficult for them, but they are looking at the Odesa region,” he said.
Zelenskyy added that while Ukraine is aware of these operational axes, the plans do not reflect current battlefield realities. “We see these directions. But these maps for now have nothing in common with reality, because they cannot accomplish the tasks,” he said, according to Ukrinform.

He noted that a spring offensive Russia had been preparing depended on territorial gains expected by the end of 2025. However, Moscow failed to meet those objectives.
“Their maps do not correspond to reality—where our forces are and where their forces are. They cannot begin the March offensive exactly the one they wanted,” Zelenskyy said, emphasizing that although Russia intends to continue attacking, it lacks the strength to fulfill its planned operations.
Earlier, it was reported that Russia would be able to sustain its war in Ukraine throughout 2026 despite mounting economic and manpower pressures.
Reports stated that there is “little indication” that “Russia’s ability to continue its war against Ukraine for a fifth year is diminished.”
It’s estimated that Russia spent about $186 billion on defense in 2025, equivalent to 7.3% of gross domestic product, after several years of sharp growth in real terms since 2021.

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