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Russia May Have Resources to Continue War Against Ukraine Through 2028, HUR Chief Says
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![Photo of Dariia Mykhailenko]( "Photo of Dariia Mykhailenko")
Russia may have sufficient resources to continue its war against Ukraine through 2027 and 2028 despite growing economic pressure, Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence (HUR) chief Oleh Ivashchenko said in an interview with Ukrinform.
He stated on September 7 that Russia’s economy is currently in significantly worse condition than it was at the beginning of the full-scale invasion.
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“The main problems of the Russian economy are a shortage of labor resources, a growing federal budget deficit, and a deteriorating situation in the banking system,” Ivashchenko said.
Despite these challenges, Russia still has a reserve of resources that could allow it to sustain the war for another two years, according to the HUR chief.
Ivashchenko stressed that further weakening Russia’s ability to finance and sustain its war effort would require continued cooperation between Ukraine and its international partners, particularly in enforcing sanctions and restricting Moscow’s access to critical foreign components.
“Sanctions must actually work. We understand which countries are supplying the Russian Federation with electronic components, machine tools, and specialized chemicals. Many intermediary companies are emerging that bring into Russia what is then used by its war machine against us,” Ivashchenko said.
Alongside sanctions, Ukrainian strikes on targets deep inside Russia are increasingly disrupting Moscow’s ability to sustain its war effort. Ivashchenko said the attacks are forcing Russia to suspend production, repair damaged facilities, reroute logistics, reposition air defense systems, and allocate additional resources, as the country’s federal budget deficit has climbed to $82 billion.
Russia, however, continues to obtain critical materials from abroad despite international efforts to restrict supplies to its defense industry. On September 4, POLITICO reported that a Chinese state-owned company had supplied Russia with materials used to manufacture hundreds of strike drones.
Documents obtained by the outlet and reviewed by Western governments show that the Chinese state-owned company supplied a sanctioned Rosatom subsidiary linked to Russia’s defense industry with 46 metric tons of carbon-fiber-related chemicals, reportedly declared under a customs classification typically used for materials such as nylon and polyester.
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-8a49d071e085c2212278c4d38cf4ed36.jpg "A Ukrainian BARS-SM jet-powered strike drone.")