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Russia Could Manufacture Radiological Incident in Ukraine to Target Western Support, ISW Warns

Russia could leverage the threat of a radiological incident within Ukraine to manipulate information and attempt to undermine Ukraine’s credibility, according to a report by the Institite of the Study of War (ISW) on February 24.
“The Kremlin may additionally be planning to blame Ukraine for a Russian-generated radiological incident in Ukraine, possibly to convince the West to abandon Ukraine or as a further attempt to break Ukrainian will to continue to resist,” the statement read.
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The report highlights that Russian officials have focused on the unsubstantiated claim made by Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service, suggesting that the UK and France are attempting to provide Ukraine with a “dirty bomb” or nuclear weapons. This narrative appears to be designed to escalate rhetoric surrounding nuclear threats while shifting focus away from the anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
High-ranking Russian officials have stated that the actions of the UK and France are “unacceptable” to Moscow and constitute an escalation, posing a threat to Russia's security. Furthermore, Russian officials have issued direct nuclear threats against these countries, which are leading negotiations within the Coalition of the Willing on security guarantees for Ukraine after the war.
In response to these allegations, the United Kingdom dismissed the claims, labeling them as false. According to a spokesperson for British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that Russian leader Vladimir Putin is deliberately spreading misinformation in an effort to divert attention from Russia’s actions in Ukraine.
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“There is no truth in this. You heard the Prime Minister’s words this morning, in which he paid tribute to the incredible resilience of the Ukrainian people… We will continue our efforts to ensure a just and lasting peace,” the spokesperson said, as cited by Sky News.
Earlier, Polish President Karol Nawrocki expressed his support for Poland's participation in a “nuclear project,” stating that the country should aim to develop its own nuclear capabilities in full compliance with international law.
In an interview with Polsat News, he emphasized his backing for strengthening Poland's strategic defense potential in response to growing security concerns in the region. He strongly believes Poland should pursue the development of its nuclear potential, ensuring it aligns with international standards.
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