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2025 May Mark Lowest Year of New Military Aid for Ukraine Since 2022
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Military support for Ukraine in 2025 risks dropping to its lowest level since the start of the full-scale war, as stated by Germany’s Kiel Institute, which tracks military, financial, and humanitarian assistance from allied countries, on December 10.
Before a shift in US policy following Donald Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, Washington provided more than half of all military aid to Kyiv. European partners temporarily filled part of this gap, but their pace of support has since slowed.
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“Based on the data available through October, Europe has not been able to sustain the momentum of the first half of 2025,” said Professor Christoph Trebesch, head of the Ukraine Support Tracker.
“The recent slowdown makes it difficult for Europe to fully offset the absence of US military aid in 2025. If this slower pace continues in the remaining months, 2025 will become the year with the lowest level of new aid allocations ever for Ukraine since the outbreak of the full-scale invasion in 2022.”
In the first ten months of 2025, Ukraine received approximately $37.9 billion in military aid, mostly from European countries. To reach even the lowest annual level of the war period—$43.8 billion in 2022—allies would need to provide over $5.8 billion in the remaining two months. To reach the average support level for 2022–2024 ($48.5 billion), more than $10.5 billion would be required.
Yet from July to October, partner countries provided only about $2.33 billion per month on average.
“The higher allocations from France, Germany, and the UK are significant,” Taro Nishikawa, project lead of the Ukraine Support Tracker, said. “But even these three still trail the Nordic countries in relative terms. Meanwhile, the decline of support from Spain and Italy is a notable setback, reinforcing the importance of more balanced burden-sharing across Europe.”
Earlier, Slovenia has confirmed its participation in the PURL program and plans to allocate approximately $46 million by the end of the year to enhance Ukraine’s air defense capabilities.
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