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FT: Russia’s Sabotage Campaign in Europe May Signal Preparations for Future Conflict

Russia’s recent sabotage campaign in Europe, previously viewed as isolated incidents, is now raising concerns about a potential strategic escalation ahead of a possible full-scale war against Europe. Experts believe the series of attacks, ranging from bomb plots targeting logistics centers to drone incursions, may be preparing the ground for broader military actions, Financial Times (FT) reported on December 9.
In July 2024, explosives planted in DHL parcels across the UK, Poland, and Germany nearly caused catastrophic crashes, while other Russian-linked plots targeted railways, shopping centers, and critical infrastructure. These attacks, often involving proxies and recruited individuals, are part of a coordinated hybrid warfare campaign that is testing Europe’s security preparedness.
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European intelligence officials are increasingly viewing these acts of sabotage not as opportunistic violence but as part of a deliberate strategy. Russian agents, using cut-out methods and often disposable recruits, are probing for vulnerabilities in Europe’s infrastructure, mapping out weak points in railways, bridges, and energy systems, according to FT.
Some of these actions are a part of long-term strategic planning, in line with intelligence assessments indicating that Russia is preparing for potential conflict with NATO by 2029.
Despite the growing scale of these incidents, European responses have been hesitant, hindered by bureaucratic constraints and legal grey areas. Russia’s use of proxies makes these attacks hard to attribute directly, complicating the ability of European governments to respond effectively, FT wrote.

The recent railway bombings in Poland and drone incursions across multiple European countries have underscored the need for a more robust and proactive response to Russian hybrid warfare.
NATO is now exploring more muscular countermeasures and deterrents, but discussions on how to address the issue are still in their early stages. As Russia continues to test Europe’s defenses, the EU faces a growing challenge in safeguarding its security and responding to this evolving threat.
Previously, it was reported that Poland has launched a terrorism investigation following two railway sabotage incidents over the weekend, which government officials say bear the hallmarks of Russian intelligence operations.
The damaged tracks were discovered along the key Deblin-Warsaw line, a corridor frequently used to transport aid to Ukraine.
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