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Ukraine, Europe, US Agree Rapid Response Plan if Russia Violates Potential Ceasefire
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Ukraine and its foreign partners have agreed on a multi-tier plan under which repeated Russian violations of any future ceasefire would be met with a coordinated response escalating from diplomatic pressure to European intervention and, if needed, US-backed military action, according to the Financial Times on February 3.
Officials briefed on the discussions told the newspaper that any breach would trigger action within 24 hours, starting with a diplomatic warning and steps by Ukraine’s forces to halt the violation.
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If fighting continued, a second phase would follow involving forces from The Coalition of the Willing that includes many EU countries as well as the UK, Norway, Iceland and Turkey.
If the breach expanded into a wider attack, the plan would move within 72 hours to a coordinated response by a Western-backed force involving the US military, the officials said.
The outlet added that the proposal was discussed in meetings in December and January involving Ukrainian, European, and American officials, as Kyiv and its partners weigh how to monitor and enforce an armistice along the roughly 1,400-km front line.
The push for an enforcement mechanism follows Ukraine’s experience with past accords that failed to prevent renewed Russian military action, including the 1994 Budapest Memorandum security assurances and the Minsk agreements intended to halt fighting in eastern Ukraine, which were signed in 2014 and 2015, respectively.
UK and US statements after Russia’s 2014 attempted annexation of Crimea said Moscow had violated commitments, including the Budapest Memorandum, while the OSCE’s monitoring mission in Ukraine was tasked with observing and reporting ceasefire violations rather than enforcing compliance, leaving repeated breaches to accumulate without a mandate to compel implementation.
Earlier, it was reported that President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is pushing for binding, NATO‑style security guarantees backed by the US Congress and other partners to deter future Russian aggression and reinforce Ukraine’s defense after potential ceasefire arrangements.
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-778f08080beaf26d1f25d4585d8a37e5.png "Ukrainian Leopard 2 Crushes Russian Infantry Hiding in Donetsk Region Village")